Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.182727 0.210204 0.241605 0.280407 0.327422 0.383003 0.454365
2025-05-11 0.142527 0.178241 0.223731 0.287062 0.374817 0.495041 0.677568
2025-05-18 0.117455 0.155917 0.208943 0.289788 0.414486 0.607915 0.949317
2025-05-25 0.100455 0.139566 0.196902 0.290934 0.449524 0.723659 1.279741
2025-06-01 0.087569 0.126141 0.185551 0.289034 0.477378 0.835757 1.663756
2025-06-08 0.077200 0.114529 0.174411 0.284149 0.497487 0.939899 2.095299
2025-06-15 0.071235 0.108774 0.171471 0.292413 0.544163 1.116696 2.833627
2025-06-22 0.064179 0.100162 0.162135 0.286538 0.559946 1.230633 3.496677
2025-06-29 0.059501 0.094917 0.157840 0.289431 0.595609 1.410776 4.564747
2025-07-06 0.054719 0.088876 0.151150 0.285951 0.615352 1.558220 5.696508
2025-07-13 0.051668 0.085557 0.149085 0.291887 0.660441 1.806899 7.669456
2025-07-20 0.049111 0.082832 0.147757 0.299155 0.711709 2.109365 10.552259
2025-07-27 0.046594 0.079975 0.145909 0.305252 0.763498 2.457863 14.742613
2025-08-03 0.044478 0.077674 0.144929 0.313413 0.825558 2.903823 21.475098
2025-08-10 0.042171 0.074748 0.142221 0.316679 0.873986 3.339207 30.505927
2025-08-17 0.039952 0.071774 0.139020 0.318024 0.917113 3.797853 43.346211
2025-08-24 0.037713 0.068547 0.134850 0.315916 0.947668 4.228250 60.318522
2025-08-31 0.035475 0.065120 0.129822 0.310457 0.964067 4.600946 81.571553
2025-09-07 0.034337 0.063911 0.129825 0.319703 1.043889 5.511367 140.003275
2025-09-14 0.032382 0.060780 0.124884 0.313130 1.055035 5.945867 195.426133
2025-09-21 0.031123 0.059062 0.123190 0.316366 1.112018 6.861753 335.814744
2025-09-28 0.029597 0.056630 0.119469 0.312474 1.135003 7.530920 528.183540
2025-10-05 0.028697 0.055526 0.118974 0.319115 1.213627 8.944600 1148.444935